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2026 Outlook: Setting the Table

A conversation this week between business TV anchors included the following half-joking observation: “Credit managers are saying, ‘Our 2026 outlook is baked. We’re now focusing on 2027.’” While we admire the brio behind this assertion, our confidence with market predictions – including our own – is not great. What many expected to happen this year,…

Debtwire Middle-Market – 11/17/2025

High-yield bond market roars in September with all-time high volumes – DebtDynamics NorthAm High-yield (HY) bond issuance in September rose to the highest volume on record, according to Debtwire data. The USD 55bn issued more than doubled August’s USD 26.7bn total and was 39% more than September 2024. The last time HY bond volumes were close to…

Covenant Trends - 11/17/2025

Percentage of First Lien Loans with Affected Lender Voting Protection (Past performance is no guarantee of future results.) Contact: Steven Miller smiller@covenantreview.com

Middle Market & Private Credit – 11/17/2025

U.S. Private Credit Exposure Rising in Sectors with Stretched Valuations Click here to learn more. Join Fitch for the upcoming Outlook panel: 2026 Leveraged Finance Credit Outlook Webinar Direct lenders’ preference for non-cyclical, stable recurring cash flows has increased their exposure to corporate sectors with higher EV/EBITDA multiples, which could exacerbate credit risks in a…

The Pulse of Private Equity – 11/17/2025

Private debt nowcast versus reported return Download PitchBook’s Report here. The Private Debt Barometer remains stable and near neutral with a score of 54, producing a nowcast of 2.8% and a desmoothed nowcast of 2.9% for Q3 2025…. Subscribe to Read MoreAlready a member? Log in here...

PDI Picks – 11/17/2025

North America consolidates fundraising dominance We reveal some of the preliminary findings from our PDI 200 ranking of private credit’s most successful fundraisers. Through the PDI 200, Private Debt Investor charts the biggest fundraisers in the industry over a rolling five-year period. As the private credit industry has grown, so too has this ranking, which…