“When my 2-year-old opened up her toy chest, things tumbled out. She’s 15 now, so it’s a well-organized make-up box. That’s how private credit has matured here.” – Australian investor. In our travels last month to Perth, Melbourne, and Sydney, we had over twenty meetings with clients and friends that included superannuation funds, wealth management…
It had been a while since our last MENA visit, so on a recent trip there with our teams, clients and friends, the difference in levels of activity and interest around private credit was palpable. Most large sophisticated institutional investors in the Gulf, including sovereign wealth and pension funds, now have a dedicated allocation to…
The notion of a post-rate world is arguable, as anyone in the capital markets over the past two decades would attest. But with so many variables in today’s crosswinds, investors in private capital believe that, as a relative matter, the direction of interest rates is less significant than how tariff policies will roll out in the…
The proponents and beneficiaries of private capital have long recognized its virtue of being less correlated with headline risk than fixed income and public equities. But one of Covid’s most enduring financial legacies was the higher interest rate regime imposed by the Fed in 2022. While it appears their long-sought soft landing was achieved, more…
As we’ve noted, the banks and private credit managers occupy different places in the corporate finance ecosystem. That’s not to say, of course, that large corporate financings don’t represent real investment opportunities for the right buyers. Or that the expansion and evolution of private capital won’t lead to interesting and constructive solutions for a wide…
One of the frequent observations of private credit, usually couched as a complaint, is how many competitors are crowding into the asset class. In part this is due to the increasingly specialized strategies managers are employing that all fit into the PC classification. A few years back, we received a gift membership for a popular…
When you’re successful, everyone wants a piece of you. That’s the challenge private credit faces today. Its grown from a small, largely ignored corner of leveraged loans called the middle market two decades ago to an asset class rivaling both broadly syndicated loans and high-yield bonds. And now private credit is drawing attention from sophisticated…
This week we conclude our series on the private capital outlook for the year ahead with our fifth theme: “A breath of fresh air: Investing and fundraising in 2025.” As private capital’s virtuous cycle sets in motion, 2025 should present plenty of attractive investment opportunities across the capital stack. For senior debt investors, the direct…
Number four of our five themes for 2025: “Platform excellence: How managers will win business tomorrow.” Even as the liquidity squeeze loosens over the coming year, it’s clear that LPs are becoming ever-more selective in the managers they back. So, while private markets retain their appeal — nearly all (96%) of respondents to a recent…
Number three of our five themes for 2025: “Default position: Discipline and careful portfolio construction will keep portfolios clean.” There are clear reasons for a more bullish sentiment to take hold in private capital investment in the year ahead. A more certain macro backdrop, a decisive election result, US companies reporting above-expectation results, and the…