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Leveraged Loan Insight & Analysis -10/24/2016

Pricing soars on oil and gas borrowing base revolvers

After collapsing to a 10-year low of less than $30 in January, oil prices are now in the $50 per barrel range. While prices might have stabilized, the industry continues to suffer severe consequences. Defaults have escalated and recovery rates are down significantly from their historical levels. According to Moody's, loans that are backed by reserves for exploration and production companies have fared better than other debt types...

The Pulse of Private Equity - 10/24/2016

PE Fundraisers Going Bigger in 2016 Portends Emerging Spread in Success?

At $225 million, the median US private equity fund size is higher thus far in 2016 than in the several years prior. This is despite relatively healthy fundraising activity in general, with 57 closed vehicles in the third quarter alone; one may suppose that diminished activity could artificially inflate median fund sizes, as the most successful firms are still able to close while others miss out, but that is not the case this year. The increase in size is attributable to a confluence of factors...

Private Debt Intelligence - 10/24/2016

Private Debt Fund Performance by Strategy

Preqin research finds that the performance of the most prominent private debt strategies – direct lending, distressed debt and mezzanine funds – has been robust, although there is clear fluctuation between vehicles of different vintage periods.

Among 2008-2009 vintage private debt funds, it is distressed debt funds that have the highest median net IRR of any strategy, with returns of 14.8%. These funds were making their first investments during...

Markit Recap – 10/17/2016

There are no shortage of factors that have troubled market participants this year: Brexit; US monetary policy direction; fragility in European banks; oil prices. All of these issues, and others, have caused credit spreads to widen at various intervals in 2016.

But the last few weeks have seen calmness return to the credit markets. The VolX Europe, which shows the realised volatility in the Markit iTraxx Europe index, hit 26.4% this week, which is the lowest level for almost two
years...

Leveraged Loan Insight & Analysis -10/17/2016

Influx of second-lien issuance has investors pushing back on terms

Recently, investors have been more open to the lower rated, higher return type of loans that were more scarce earlier in the year. In particular, second-lien issuance has picked up. Just two weeks into October and there has already been US$1.5bn in completed second-lien loan issuance which would account for 57% of second-lien issuance for all of 2Q16. This influx of higher yielding assets into the market has caused more push back from investors during negotiations...

Private Debt Intelligence - 10/17/2016

Private Debt: Funds in Market

Preqin’s quarterly update on the private debt industry finds that as of the beginning of Q4 2016, there are 304 funds in market targeting an aggregate $147bn globally. With few funds closing through the year to date, the marketplace has grown considerably since mid-year; there are 50 more vehicles on the road seeking an extra $6bn of investor commitments compared to the start of Q3.

Direct lending, once again, represents the largest proportion of private debt funds on the road, both by number (38%) and aggregate capital targeted (39%)...

The Pulse of Private Equity - 10/17/2016

Debt Usage in US M&A Remains Historically Low

Even as multiples remain stubbornly high across multiple sectors, debt usage remains low. This is primarily the result of a confluence of factors, including stricter regulations, cash-rich buyers and a general trend toward buying and building as a strategy on the part of private equity investors. In that last case, PE firms aren’t relying as much on financial engineering as they used to, looking instead to deploying more equity in deals to avoid overburdening portfolio companies with barely serviceable debt loads. Of course, that necessitates shrewd operational enhancements...

Markit Recap – 10/10/2016

The CDS market in September is typically dominated by one event: the semi-annual roll. The outperformance of single names observed during August was maintained in the run up to the roll on September 20, with the skew between the Markit iTraxx indices and their theoretical levels all but eliminated. However, it was business as usual…

The Pulse of Private Equity - 10/10/2016

Sustained High Multiples Contributing to Deal Values in the US Lower Middle Market In a recent Lead Left column, we observed that median enterprise value/EBITDA buyout multiples for businesses with EVs of under $25 million were quite high, at 6.13x in 2Q 2016. Coupling that with yearly deal flow figures for the US lower middle…