Does this lower-for-longer outlook mean the end of the Golden Era for private credit investors? All-in spreads have been at all-time high, but that high-tide lifted a number of boats. Bringing corporate and high-yield bond yields down will increase the relative attractiveness of middle market debt. Easing of financing costs will boost M&A and improve […]
Long-term investors, particularly those in private capital, emphasize fundamentals. They ask how top managers deal with uncertainty. What economic signs do they watch? How will higher rates affect portfolios and deal sourcing? Will a recession result in worsening default and loss rates? What examples of successful workouts can you show to demonstrate the ability to […]
When it comes to private capital, institutional investors in Italy have an increasing variety of options. Exposure to US private equity, for example. And while specialized strategies have emerged (e.g. venture capital), the focus on established buyout funds has been prevailing. Private equity issuance has been particularly active. For the first quarter of 2024, even […]
Our fondness for inflection points suggests there are many to consider. First, the economy. Despite many misgivings over the past eight months, US GDP growth has been remarkably solid. Second quarter numbers were revised upward from 2.8% to 3% in large part due to strong consumer spending. The third quarter is still hanging tough with […]
As we head to our end of summer break, let’s reflect on three things that will not change. First, rate expectations are headed lower, beginning next month; likely to include at least one more cut before the end of the year. It’s also clear that pattern will continue into 2025. Second, the economy will continue […]
These partnerships are helping to drive the growth of the DC market, which is expected to rise to about £1 trillion by 2030 (according to PLSA). The largest of these plans is estimated to be committing to between 10%-30% in private/semi liquid market strategies. NEST, the largest DC master trust in the UK has stated […]
These partnerships are helping to drive the growth of the DC market, which is expected to rise to about £1 trillion by 2030 (according to PLSA). The largest of these plans is estimated to be committing to between 10%-30% in private/semi liquid market strategies. NEST, the largest DC master trust in the UK has stated […]
From a risk perspective, CLO defaults are rare; no AAA tranche in either US or European CLOs has ever defaulted. The historical default rate for all CLO tranches is just 0.11%, and none occurred post-GFC until 2021. Then only after portfolios had been partially weakened from loan credit quality issues emerging during the Covid-19 pandemic. […]
In a note last week, our content partners at PitchBook LCD highlighted “the high level of CLO paydowns and deal calls, which has pushed more than $50 billion back into investors’ hands — and could add up to $90 billion more.” These paydowns totaled over $52 billion so far this year, more than the combined […]
Media coverage at the time trumpeted how banks were fighting to regain lost share to direct lenders. It also warned that this competition would hurt private credit returns by forcing those managers to cut their spreads to keep good assets from going away. Another measure of non-bank success has been the ratio of new deals […]