Private Debt: Search for Transparency (Fourth of a Series)

Last week in our special series on visibility in direct lending, we touched on the element of risk/reward. This week we examine relative credit losses and liquidity of the asset class.

The issue of private credit losses cuts to the heart of transparency. Since middle market borrowers are generally smaller, private, and unrated, and their financings illiquid, it’s a challenge getting accurate default and recovery data.

In Private Debt: Opportunities in Corporate Direct Lending, Steve Nesbitt uses the Cliffwater Direct Lending Index to help shed light on this question...

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Quote of the Week

“Yields are going to be lower for longer, inflation is going to be lower for longer, and growth is going to be lower for longer.” – Colin Robertson, managing director, fixed income, Northern Trust Asset Management.

What’s Your Favorite Quote of the Week?

Featuring Charts

Chart of the Week: Shopping List

July 22, 2019

To select a private debt manager, investors must perform due diligence on a variety of factors.

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Chart of the Week: Life Expectancy

July 16, 2019

Thanks to consistent repayments since the credit crisis, direct loans have an effective life of less than three years.

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Chart of the Week: Premium Outlets

July 9, 2019

Cliffwater’s analysis of risk premiums across asset classes shows a broad range of returns above Treasurys.

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Chart of the Week: Counting Your Losses

July 5, 2019

Losses incurred by direct lenders tend to follow a pattern based on the experience of each manager. Source: Cliffwater LLC

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Chart of the Week: Senior Housing

June 27, 2019

The recent pick-up of senior lending coincides with new private credit providers entering the market.

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Chart of the Week: Face Time

June 20, 2019

The share of financings with a covenant requiring a management meeting rose last year.

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Features

Private Debt Intelligence – 7/22/2019

Private Debt Funds in Market in Q2 2019 Through Q2 2019, new private debt funds have continued to come to market, and there are now a record 420 vehicles on the road. Having spiked to $192bn at the start of the quarter, though, the total capital sought in the asset class has fallen back to

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Leveraged Loan Insight & Analysis – 7/15/2019

2Q19 non-sponsored lending jumped to its highest quarterly level in a year After a very slow start to the year, non-sponsored lending soared in 2Q19. At US$26bn, non-sponsored syndicated loan volume was up 81% from 1Q19, but was still down 15% year-over-year. The quarter-over-quarter increase in lending was driven by a big surge in refinancings

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Private Debt Intelligence – 7/15/2019

Private Debt Fundraising in Different Regions over H1 2019 Private debt fundraising started 2019 slowly, and in Q2 it has not picked up. Looking regionally, it appears that while prospects are good in North America, in Europe and Asia fundraising momentum has fallen to the mid-point of the year....

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The Pulse of Private Equity – 7/15/2019

12x the rest of the year? Download PitchBook’s Report here. Two quarters into 2019 and buyout multiples remain above 12x on a median basis, according to PitchBook’s recently released PE Breakdown Report. Quarterly readings from 2015 to early 2016 were in the 9.5x to 10.5x range, with multiples gradually building over time. Though high, investors have

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PDI Picks – 7/15/2019

Distressed managers find favour with investors in H1 2019 The biggest challenge for such shops will be where to find chances to deploy capital should no extended period of topsy-turvy markets ensue. Distressed debt fundraising has come back in a big way in the first half of the year, according to Private Debt Investor’s fundraising

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Middle Market Deal Terms at a Glance

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State of the Capital Markets – Second Quarter 2019 Review and Third Quarter 2019 Outlook

July 18, 2019

Review of Current Market Conditions/ Analysis of Capital Markets Metrics/ Review of Credit Quality/ Outlook for Third Quarter 2019

Special Report: Why Valuations Matter

June 13, 2019

Beginning in April 2019 The Lead Left published a series of articles on valuations. This report consolidates those articles.

Special Report: Leveraged Loans and Systemic Risk

April 24, 2019

Beginning in February 2019 The Lead Left published a series of articles on leveraged loans and systemic risk. This report consolidates those articles.