Chart of the Week: Rate Expectations
Loan participants see higher defaults from 1.6% today, but not much higher. Source: PitchBook/LCD(Past performance is no guarantee of future results.)
Loan participants see higher defaults from 1.6% today, but not much higher. Source: PitchBook/LCD(Past performance is no guarantee of future results.)
Market observers now think a rate cut at the Fed’s June meeting is unlikely. Source: The Daily Shot(Past performance is no guarantee of future results.)
The Fed’s “higher-for-longer” has compressed leverage loan coverage ratios. Source: PitchBook | LCD(Past performance is no guarantee of future results.)
Top three criteria investors use to select credit managers are portfolio-centric. Source: Coalition Greenwich 2023 Private Credit Market Structure Study(Past performance is no guarantee of future results.)
Private borrower covenant (not payment) default rates fell for third straight quarter. Source: Lincoln International Proprietary Private Market Database(Past performance is no guarantee of future results.)
The reversal of refinancings between direct lenders and the liquid market is dramatic. Source: PitchBook LCD(Past performance is no guarantee of future results.)
Despite modest spread softening, direct lending yields remain at record levels. Source: LSEG LPC(Past performance is no guarantee of future results.)
New CLO formation so far in 2024 has been the second fastest start ever. Source: PitchBook LCD (Past performance is no guarantee of future results.)
Expectations for Fed rate cuts soften as the economy remains strong. Source: The Daily Shot(Past performance is no guarantee of future results.)
Echoing dynamics in the loan market, corporate debt maturities have lengthened. Source: Bloomberg, Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research(Past performance is no guarantee of future results.)