Commentary

CLOs Revisited – Ratings, Risks, and Returns (Fourth of a Series)

Competition in leveraged loans, keen as it is, pales in comparison to the 2021 Mrs. Sri Lanka pageant. Reigning Mrs. World champion, Caroline Jurie yanked the tiara off newly-crowned winner Pushpika DeSilva, charging Mrs. DeSilva was not married. Mrs. DeSilva fled the stage in tears. Order was eventually restored. Mrs. DeSilva reclaimed her crown, and…

CLOs Revisited – Ratings, Risks, and Returns (Third of a Series)

By blocking the Suez Canal last month, the Ever Given made headlines and created a massive shipping traffic jam. Three football fields long and weighing 250 thousand tons (by comparison, the Statue of Liberty is 125 tons), the monster container vessel represents the new global transportation reality: 90% of the world’s goods travel by sea….

CLOs Revisited – Ratings, Risks, and Returns (First of a Series)

“Anytime loan market technicals shift, there’s always a view that CLOs are the end of Western civilization as we know it.” So a top CLO manager related his experience over several decades. Regardless of actual historical performance, collateralized loan obligations are periodically hauled out by the media, excoriated for reckless behavior, and dismissed as just another…

Reflation Nation (Second of Two Parts)

An astute Lead Left reader sent us the following note regarding last week’s commentary: “Besides the beneficial economic impact of pent-up consumerism, the Biden stimulus package, and vaccine distributions, you should also mention the healthy state of household savings,” he wrote. “February’s data [just released] showed family net worth’s hit a record high of $130.2…

Reflation Nation (First of Two Parts)

In February 1983 your correspondent bought his first house with a 13% 30-year fixed rate mortgage. Why fixed? Because the year before, the 30-year had soared to almost 18%. Higher interest rates were a fact of life. We stubbornly stuck to the fixed rate option in succeeding refis over the next two decades. Since the…

2021: The Great Reception (Last of a Series)

We wrap our special series with an outlook for private credit. The value proposition of the asset class was fully supported through last year’s extreme volatility as experienced managers and their portfolios emerged mostly unscathed. But as market conditions develop this year, how will private credit terms be impacted? BSL technicals, such as fund flows,…

2021: The Great Reception (Second of a Series)

We continue our special series on the outlook for the year ahead with a look at the capital markets. What are the moving parts impacting funds flow, asset characteristics (volume, prices, and yields), and quality of deal issuance? With each passing day, the prospect for lower infection rates improves. Investors expect vaccine distribution to reach…

2021: The Great Reception (First of a Series)

It was just another painful ramification of the pandemic. We’re referring, of course, to the nationwide absence of Grape-Nuts on supermarket shelves. Graver consequences of COVID-19 abound, but the whole point of comfort food is to be there in times of duress. First produced in 1897 by Mr. C.W. Post, Grape-Nuts contains neither grapes nor…