Public Debt

Private Credit vs. Public Debt (Last of a Series)

For high-yield bond investors, March has been the cruelest month. First oil prices – often linked to bond prices – took a dive, from $54/bbl to $48 in just three weeks. Then last week the Fed hiked interest rates, and signaled they weren’t done by a long shot. That combination of happenings compelled junk buyers…

Private Credit vs. Public Debt (Third of a Series)

The fundamental thesis governing credit risk for bond holders relative to loan holders is that the latter is advantaged by the seniority and secured position in the issuer’s capital stack. As our Chart of the Week shows, these two elements work together to give loan investors the best chance for the highest recovery in case…

Private Credit vs. Public Debt (Second of a Series)

In this series we are examining the characteristics of public debt, such as high yield bonds, compared with those of private credit instruments. Last week we covered interest rate risk and relative default rates. Now let’s turn to relative yields. As our Chart of the Week shows (reprised from last week), there’s been a steady…

Private Credit vs. Public Debt (First of a Series)

One of the more discussed charts we’ve run in this newsletter recently compared direct lending yields with that of high-yield bonds. Seems as if many were surprised at the significant spread differential between the two asset classes. For those who missed this chart, we reprise it below as our Chart of the Week. It made…