Featuring Charts
Chart of the Week: Business Service as Usual
Business services and tech remain strong sectors for LBO candidates. Source: KBRA DLD
Read MoreChart of the Week: Relative Compression
Private credit yields have narrowed since 2023, but less than for single-Bs. Source: KBRA DLD
Read MoreChart of the Week: Tariff Drag
Growth forecasts for this year and next are well below last December’s estimates. Source: Oxford Economics/Haver Analytics
Read MoreChart of the Week: All-Weather Buyouts
While direct lending was subdued with rate liftoff, it’s recovered despite tariff noise. Source: DLD KBRA
Read MoreChart of the Week: Loans Unleashed
July set record monthly leveraged loan volume; eight of top ten highest in last two years. Source: PitchBook, Bloomberg
Read MoreChart of the Week: Behind the Curve
Private equity fundraising through early June is slowest pace in over a decade. Source: PitchBook
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Features
Middle Market & Private Credit – 9/15/2025

US BDC Robust Unsecured Debt Issuance Reduces Funding, Liquidity Risk Click here to learn more. Strong unsecured debt issuance has continued for rated business development companies (BDCs) in 2025 amid favorable market conditions that have materially reduced refinancing risk and signaled a further deepening of the investor base. The best-positioned BDCs benefit from diverse funding…
The Pulse of Private Equity – 9/15/2025

Private debt nowcast vs. reported returns Download PitchBook’s Report here. The Private Debt Barometer currently holds a stable, slightly positive score of 53, with a nowcast of 2.6% and a desmoothed nowcast of 2.9% for Q2 2025…. Subscribe to Read MoreAlready a member? Log in here...
Leveraged Loan Insight & Analysis – 9/15/2025

US LevFin issuance slips to US$200bn despite historically active August For US LevFin, we saw trends of previous months continue to play out in August: (1) Defense over offense, with issuers largely focused on managing liabilities versus making acquisitions; (2) Strategic M&A driving the majority of underwritings; (3) Rate-sensitive LBO trades struggling to catch bids…
PDI Picks – 9/15/2025

The differing priorities of LPs and GPs Investors and fund managers have diverging priority lists according to a survey. The current fundraising environment has given rise to distinct challenges for market players and there is some misalignment between LPs and GPs on which issues are the most pressing…. Subscribe to Read MoreAlready a member? Log
The Pulse of Private Equity – 9/8/2025

Rolling one-year PE fund returns Download PitchBook’s Report here. A review of desmoothed returns and the desmoothed nowcast over a rolling one-year horizon shows that PE fund returns significantly exceeded fundamental expectations implied by macroeconomic conditions throughout 2021 and 2022…. Subscribe to Read MoreAlready a member? Log in here...
Beginning in July 2022 The Lead Left published a series of articles on credit market. This report consolidates those articles.
Cov-lite trends Inflation & rising interest rates – LIBOR to SOFR transition Mega-tranche uni trend ESG takes center stage Login to view interactive report and download PDF version. … Subscribe to Read MoreAlready a member? Log in here Related posts: 2H 2021 Midyear Outlook Report State of the Capital Markets – Fourth Quarter 2016 Review and
Beginning in September 2021 The Lead Left published a series of articles on supply chain. This report consolidates those articles.