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Leveraged Loan Insight & Analysis - 2/13/2017

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Covenant-lite volume will likely hit another record high in 1Q17

Covenant-lite loan volume has already reached US$90 bn in 1Q17 with two more months still left to go this quarter. With another US$35bn still in process, 1Q17 will likely be a brand new record high for covenant-lite issuance. Covy-lite volume had just hit a brand new record high last quarter at US$128bn, smashing the previous record set in 1Q14. These robust volumes are largely taking place during big refinancing waves like in the current environment...

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The Pulse of Private Equity - 2/13/2017

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Will elevated US PE inventory contribute to continued secondary buyout activity?

It is difficult to get a sense of just how many middle-market companies there are in the US, which is a critical statistic to have on hand when analyzing the impact of the heightened private equity inventory. According to a recent installment of the Middle Market Power Index from American Express and Dun & Bradstreet, there were 182,578 firms that had between $10 million and $999 million in revenue in 2016...

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Private Debt Intelligence - 2/13/2017

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Private Debt Investors Delighted with Fund Performance

At the end of 2016, Preqin conducted surveys with over 90 private debt investors in order to gauge their satisfaction with the performance of the private debt asset class and to ascertain their investment plans for both 2017 and long-term future.

More than a quarter (27%) of private debt investors surveyed stated that the performance had exceeded their expectations, an increase of nine percentage points compared to the end of 2015...

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Leveraged Loan Insight & Analysis - 2/6/2017

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Overall LBO leverage on the rise in 1Q17

Average leverage levels on both large corporate and institutional middle market LBO deals have shown a meaningful jump in 1Q17. With refinancings and repricings dominating the leveraged loan market, investors seem more willing to stretch on new money LBO deals. The average leverage level so far in 1Q17 is at 5.0 times first lien and 6.50 times total debt to EBITDA, up from 4.6 times senior by 6.1 times total last quarter...

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The Pulse of Private Equity - 2/6/2017

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Transaction sizes suggest relative US middle-market popularity for PE

The median private equity transaction with a US middle-market company fell slightly to $134.0 million in 2016, down a mere $4 million from the prior year. Given the minuscule magnitude of the decline, it's clear that there is still plenty of competition from not only strategic acquirers in the upper end of the market but also fellow PE firms that are keeping transaction sizes relatively high, among other factors...

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Private Debt Intelligence - 2/6/2017

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Private Debt Funds in Market by Strategy

After two consecutive years of private debt fundraising exceeding $90bn, the pipeline remains strong with investor appetite for the asset class as strong as ever. In total, there are 288 private debt vehicles marketing themselves to investors, targeting a combined $117bn of capital commitments.

Direct lending funds represent the highest proportion of both total funds on the road and aggregate target capital; 127 funds (44%) are seeking $51bn (43%)...

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Markit Recap – 1/30/2017

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Many market commentators have commented that 2017 will be the year of political risk. Ongoing uncertainty around Brexit, Donald Trump’s inaugural year as US president and a series of elections in continental Europe make conditions ripe for bouts of volatility.

This may be self-evident, but so far the credit markets are taking little heed. Realised volatility in the Markit iTraxx Europe, as measured by the VolX index, dropped sharply in Q4 and has remained around the 28-29% level this year. Indeed, the last three months have been the longest period of low volatility since March 2007, when the first signs of the US sub-prime crisis emerged. It was a similar story with the Markit iTraxx Crossover...

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Leveraged Loan Insight & Analysis -1/30/2017

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Strong retail fund inflows help fuel the leveraged loan market

Investors have been pouring money into retail loan funds in recent months. This has helped fuel demand in the leveraged loan market. Last week, investors placed US$1.02bn into retail loan funds, the second time in three weeks the US$1bn mark was eclipsed. It was also the tenth week out of the last eleven that there was over US$500m invested in loan funds. With the increased demand in loans, it is no surprise the leveraged loan market has kept busy...

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The Pulse of Private Equity - 1/30/2017

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PE Fundraisers As Successful as Ever, Suggesting Industry’s Maturation

89% of private equity funds closed in the US last year, against a backdrop of healthy fundraising levels—252 vehicles combined for a total of $180 billion committed. This decade-high proportion of fundraising success leads one to the most evident conclusion that limited partners are still eager for exposure to the asset class. Combined with the historically strong median buyout fund size of $250 million in 2016...

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Private Debt Intelligence - 1/30/2017

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Private Debt Fundraising by Geographic Focus

Preqin’s latest data finds that through 2016, 130 private debt vehicles reached a final close raising a combined $92bn in another strong year of fundraising for the asset class. However, the year also saw greater capital concentration in the more developed markets of North America and Europe as managers looking to invest in Asia and Rest of World struggles to attract the same levels of capital...

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