Grading our predictions, part 2 Download PitchBook’s Report here. Last week we previewed our upcoming webinar with ACG on how our 2019 private equity predictions panned out. This week’s rearview assessments is one of our misses—we thought private debt fundraising levels would rebound off of a slower 2018. Slow being relative, as it was still one…

Grading our predictions Download PitchBook’s Report here. Earlier this year, we published our 2019 Private Equity Outlook, our crystal ball analyst note where we took a crack at predicting trends in the year ahead. With 2019 wrapping up, we’ll be grading our predictions in an ACG webinar on December 17. We’ll provide the link in next…

PE’s tech infatuation Download PitchBook’s Report here. Tech-focused dry powder has almost doubled since 2016. The latest returns data available is through March of this year, when it totaled $93.1 billion across North America and Europe. That marked a 93% increase since 2016’s cumulative $48.2 billion, according to PitchBook’s latest analyst note on tech funds. The…

Manufacturing exits are way down We covered China-driven M&A last week, noting that activity has taken a nosedive this year. Chinese acquirers aren’t buying many American companies at the moment, thanks in part to the broader trade war. According to a newly released report from PitchBook and RSM, however, PE is having a rough time…

China-driven M&A isn’t happening this year Download PitchBook’s Report here. North American M&A activity involving Chinese buyers has fallen off a cliff this year. That’s not a complete surprise, but it’s not often you see such swift drop-offs without something alarming going on. According to PitchBook’s just released North American M&A Report, China-driven M&A is on…

Distributions – timing is everything Download PitchBook’s Report here. With illiquid asset classes like PE, it’s hard but worthwhile to try to figure out how quickly LP dollars go in and out of funds. Our latest analyst note on cash flow management focuses on distribution numbers, with interesting results for market observers and actionable data for…

Public and private Download PitchBook’s Report here. Recent GP stake deals are giving us a growing sample size of private PE firm valuations. We already had a small set for publicly traded PE firms, and we’ve heard ad nauseum that the public markets don’t fully understand how to value firms like Blackstone or Apollo. Much of…

Add-ons keep surging Download PitchBook’s Report here. Add-ons now account for 68% of all US PE buyouts. If that pace holds, 2019 will notch another high-mark for the add-on/LBO ratio, which has been trending up for the past decade. That’s according to PitchBook’s 3Q Breakdown Report, just released this week. Two crosswinds have helped boost that…

Where will all the infrastructure money go? Almost three political centuries ago, expectations were high for a bi-partisan and highly funded infrastructure bill. While a lot has happened since January 2017, the promised infrastructure package was not one of them. Recall, though, the fervent efforts among PE investors to piggyback off of those plans. Blackstone…

Usually good but seldom great Download PitchBook’s Report here. PE mega-funds (of at least $5 billion) have tended to outperform smaller funds over the past 20 years. That shouldn’t come as a surprise, as mega-funds are only raised by firms that have outperformed over time. At least for private equity, the biggest firms are almost by…