Venezuela – are we close to default? Waiting for a default on Venezuela’s bonds has been like waiting for Godot. Low oil prices and macroeconomic mismanagement has led to a catastrophic collapse in economic activity – our colleagues in country risk are forecasting a 7.5% GDP contraction. Civil unrest is on the rise,… Login to
Many BDCs still struggling to trade at book value and higher Investors are getting ready to parse through a slew of BDCs earnings, which will be released this week. Last quarter, many BDCs disappointed with announcements of rising non-accruals, dividend cuts, and declining yields which caused the average price to net asset value per share…
PE’s growing influence on M&A Download PitchBook’s Report click here. Private equity holdings now make up 11% of all target companies in the M&A market. That percentage was a good deal smaller in the not-so-distant past, but the share of PE-backed M&A targets has steadily increased since the financial crisis. Simple arithmetic explains part of…
Asia-Focused Distressed Debt Fundraising Over the past ten years, 26 Asia-focused distressed debt funds have closed, securing $7.8bn. Of those funds, just 13 had a focus on India or China, which raised $4.4bn. Seven of those vehicles were India-focused, while five were China-focused. However, 2015 and 2016 saw a jump in India- and China-focused fundraising,…
Leverage levels diverged on middle market sponsored deals in 3Q17 When it comes to lending to smaller issuers, bank and non-bank lenders have very different risk tolerances in today’s market. Back in 2013 banks and non-bank lenders both lent to middle market issuers at similar leverage levels. However over time that has diverged due to…
Feels like the first time Download PitchBook’s Report click here. Like Aaron Judge of the New York Yankees, rookies are sometimes better than the veterans. In our latest Analyst Report, we analyzed first-time PE fund returns against the broader PE landscape. Even with the disadvantages that come with rookie funds—less experienced staff, smaller infrastructure, fewer…
Direct Lending Drives Private Debt Performance Preqin’s latest review of private debt fund performance finds that direct lending funds have been the driving force behind the asset class posting strong recent returns. The strategy has posted horizon IRRs of 15.9% in the year to the end of 2016, significantly higher than any other fund type….
Wind CDS orphaned? We noted last month that orphaned CDS seemed to be on the rise, with both EDP in Portugal and Italy’s Wind possibly losing their relationships with deliverable obligations. The picture was clear with EDP – bonds will be issued out of EDP Finance BV and this was reflected in the entity’s inclusion…
Strong investor appetite supports institutional issuance but tougher credits command better terms Despite robust market technicals including two weeks of retail fund inflows and a steady CLO pipeline, institutional lenders are reconciling strong demand for assets with discipline around credit quality. Roughly $34Bn of institutional loan volume has come to market early in 4Q17 and…
Private Equity’s Amazon Problem Nordstrom, thought to be a prime buyout candidate, is now having trouble securing debt commitments for a would-be deal. It opted this week to wait until after the holiday season to assess any PE buyout, even with an investor waiting in the wings. Following the bankruptcy of Toys R Us, another…